Quest Barack Obama’s campaign team

January 8th, 2012

U.S. President Barack Obama’s campaign team launch campaign website, officially announced the 2012 presidential election. This time they will continue to campaign headquarters in Chicago, this is the first time in American history, presidential re-election campaign headquarters outside Washington. In response, Obama said he does not want to hear from the campaign is only just the voices of scholars and spokesmen of power, standing supporters here is to let him open the road to the White House people. Interaction with the voters through the network is Obama a major feature of the 2008 election, Obama also created in this way a miracle. Messina’s campaign team director, said the future of the team will make more efforts on the Internet, these efforts will HP PAVILION DV4 battery make 2008 seem propaganda network "outdated." Now they can continue to pave the way for his re-election world?

Headquarters as trendy Networks

Into the campaign headquarters, where an area of ??50,000 square feet is almost twice the 2008, which has seen four years ago, "hope" or "change" and campaign slogans, replaced some of the printed 2012 and the campaign website address poster.

At first sight, the network’s headquarters as the office placed the middle of a table tennis tables, table printed with Obama’s campaign logo in 2012. Hanging around the office are very individual characteristics of the decorations, such as furry dolls and narwhal murals. Staff to use nicknames instead of names on the card name, such as "slippers", "time travelers" and so on. These young twenties and thirties in the office wearing jeans and sneakers, and even move around in the office exposing tattoos.

But the staff here is extremely focused on work, when a SONY VGP-BPS8 battery reporter visited the studio, there is always a staff member "personal following" and use the media recorder to record every conversation with the staff. Correspondent Office of the Secretary through public relations, they will be alert to close the doors. In the office, the media, the most heard saying: "Sorry, you can not see those materials."

Faced with the imminent election, the campaign team leader, said Jim Messina, Obama’s team will make more efforts on the Internet, these efforts will make 2008 seem propaganda network "outdated." At the headquarters office, a dozen engineers are sitting together, struggling to hit the keyboard. Months, they have been conducting a new study, the main focus on how the iPhone, social networking sites and microblogging to create a new mode of transmission in order to more effectively convey information.

It is said that the team has "spoils" innovation officer than Michael Slavin said, in order to study the status and needs of each voter, the team has developed a computer program to sort the information behavior of voters.

With this information, the team can be targeted to interact SONY VGP-BPS9 battery with voters, improve financing and so on. He said, "Our target voters have in common the way through the integration of information to communicate with them, listening to the voters demand more effectively." Voters such as their demands according to its slogan to send a different video to show Obama horse attentive to voters.

In 2008, the Obama campaign has encouraged supporters to create a file on the social networking site MyBarackObama.com. Today, the Obama team will replace it with a brand new website, an internal staff member said: "Our plan is to improve the last effective way to remove the invalid content, a voter can better reflect the ideas and experience campaign website. "on the new website, campaign volunteers do not need to create a user name, upload photos, just use Facebook account you can immediately log in to any website running the office. Campaign team will be able to mask the Internet by virtue of immediate concern in the electorate, to understand its own characteristics.

In addition, Obama will be smart phones, another important goal of the technical team. Today, almost all mobile phones can watch and share video online and log on social networking sites. Last November, the Obama team to redesign its website that promotes, not only makes all the mobile terminals can browse the site, also make it easier for people to register as through mobile campaign site volunteers and supporters
Team of professionals covering a variety of

In addition to the network edge, the Messina told the media that the Obama team is another advantage of the abundant human resources. Currently, the Obama team has been in Chicago only employ more than 200 employees, Biluomuni number of national campaign team combined. The team in the past 10 months has been threw himself into work, and the Republicans to shift energy consumption in 13 games televised debate, "We have a number of staff in the country, they are four or five years has been preparation for this campaign to work the system and experience. These are Romney and other Republican candidates lack. "

Messina also said that Camp Obama has hired a team of SONY VGP-BPS13 Battery professionals, including staff, networking, advocacy, clothing stylists, teachers and other high-tech research and development. These people are developing a top-secret high-tech applications, team members used to keep track of all of Obama’s demeanor, prevent information leakage and improve their performance.

In addition, the Obama team has been attached great importance to mobilize volunteers to enter the race team. The last election, the Obama team to get through the establishment of a large number of volunteer support Web site. December 2011, the Obama team launched its first advertising campaign to mobilize volunteers to join the community campaign team.

Team is expected to raise $ 1 billion

U.S. presidential election, paving the way has always been the U.S. dollar, April 14, 2011 night, Obama held the first fund-raising speech in Chicago. It is reported that tickets for cheap, from $ 100 to $ 35,800 range. The main fare of $ 100 for the U.S. middle-aged voters, and $ 35,800 tickets are covered by the opportunity to have dinner with Obama. Despite the high fares, lectures or to attract more than 2,300 showed up to support. According to statistics, the night Barack Obama raised a total of about $ 2 million in campaign funds.

Chicago is just the first leg of campaign fundraising in the next three months, Obama introduced in San Francisco, Los Angeles and New York and held a total of 24 games similar speech fund-raising activities, raised a total of nearly $ 60 million. In addition to on-site fund-raising speech, the Messina said the Obama team had also planned campaign contributions sweepstakes. Supporters as long as the donations 5-700 U.S. dollars, you can participate in lucky draw, lucky to get tickets and dinner with Obama. According to reports, in order to facilitate public donations, the Obama campaign donations throughout the United States have established points. In addition, the public also through telephone hotlines and Obama’s campaign website for donations.

In this operation, the financing of the Obama campaign is paying off. Only last September, Obama has raised from $ 156,000 financial industry, more than the sum of contributions to Republican candidates received even higher. New York University School of Law scholar Susan Knox said: "Generally speaking, if a candidate during the campaign money is spent more than five times the opponent will definitely win."

Obama’s team also revealed that, until now, the number of donor funds has more than one million, the growth rate is twice the last election, they have received about $ 190 million contribution. Analysts believe that, before the general election in November of this year, the Obama team is expected to raise 10 billion dollars. This will not only refresh the 2008 Obama raised a record $ 750 million, will allow him to become the first in history to $ 1 billion campaign to raise funds for candidates.

Strong campaign finance, professional team can re-election for Obama laying a road, now it seems an open question. Obama Since taking office, Medicare bill did not pass, the unemployment rate to rise, the economic downturn, resulting support rate fell 10 percentage points. When the media asked the Obama team how to deal with, the chief political strategist David Axelrod, said voters look to the future leaders of the performance even more, rather than "painful" past, "we will face the future more challenging environment, this is what we need and are prepared. "

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Not optimistic about the prospects of the Spanish social security system

January 8th, 2012

Spanish social security system in 2011 there 668 million euros of the deficit, accounting for the Spanish gross domestic product (GDP) of about 0.06%, although not significant, but since 1999 the Spanish social security system for the first time a deficit.

Previously, the previous government had predicted Spain Spanish social security system will occur in 2011 is equivalent to GDP0.4% of the surplus. For this unexpected deficit, 58-year-old Isabel, told reporters in Madrid the people, because young working hours is not long, it can only receive the minimum amount of pension. But she is not worried the government will stop the old age pension. In fact, the current government announced a deficit of the social security system will also ensure that will not affect pensions.

Isabel is worried about inflation, leading to declining purchasing SONY VGP-BPS8B battery power of pensions and social security system in the future. Because of her late daughter can not find jobs, stay at home eating the old, the pressure suddenly increased her life. With unemployment high, many young people to graduate from unemployment to work them, the more time to pay social insurance later, the social security system, the greater the pressure. Spain last year amended the relevant laws, must work to receive full pension at least 35 years. Isabel said she believed many of this generation of young people are not likely to meet this requirement.

Spain is also a senior correspondent Angel pensioners who told reporters that Spain has entered a vicious cycle, economic downturn led to high government deficit, strict austerity policy and the economy will inevitably SONY VGP-BPS9 battery have a negative impact on recovery and growth, economy can not grow, employment can not be restored, the social security system, the pressure will definitely grow. Angel said, is the ruling People’s Party came to power had previously promised to take measures to stimulate the economy, create jobs, but still its savings measures introduced in the main. He believes that the introduction of a larger reform policies before Spain must be full consultation with the European Union, "in the current situation, Spain can not separate out of the crisis, the euro zone debt crisis resolution requires the EU and the euro zone common to . "

Spanish government last week forecast 2011 deficit will exceed 6% of SONY VGP-BPS13 battery the expected two percentage points to 8% after the Spanish social security system, the red light to Spain again sounded the alarm, but also to some extent, affected the market in Spain confidence in the economic and financial recovery. Government of Spain that the Spanish situation now than previously expected to be more severe, the new government must adopt a more stringent austerity policies to improve fiscal and financial situation in Spain.

Currently, last week announced that it will cut public spending in 2012 on the basis of 8.9 billion euros, the Spanish government re-launched a new austerity and reform policies. According to Spain’s Deputy Prime Minister and government spokesman introduction, Spain Ministry of Finance will develop a tax control plan in 2012 to further strengthen the tax regulation, combat tax evasion, in particular, the strict control of cash. The plan is expected to bring the Spanish government € 8.161 billion in revenue. In addition, the Spanish government plans to hold this month, fiscal and monetary policy committee meeting to discuss the Spanish more than 4000 of the weight of public institutions and enterprises, to further reduce public expenditure. At that meeting, the Spanish HP PAVILION DV4 battery Minister of Finance and Public Administration will also place Montero major debt problems and to discuss the district government representatives to the regional government to honor its commitment made in deficit reduction. Previously, the Spanish economy and competitiveness minister Dejinduosi told the British "Financial Times" interview, Spain in March through the new region on the control of local government fiscal deficit of the law. After the implementation of the new law, the Spanish local government’s budget must be approved by the Central Government

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International Financial Focus: France eager to levy financial transaction tax

January 8th, 2012

6 French President Nicolas Sarkozy said France and the euro area could range from other members of the European Union agreed on the introduction of the first financial transaction tax. However, analysts pointed out that France so "unilateral action" has little significance. Some people have criticized Sarkozy’s move is just to win re-election "manufacturing topics."

France "can not wait."

To ease the large-scale capital flows caused by exchange rate fluctuations, the United States late James Tobin, Nobel laureate in economics, first proposed in 1972, "financial transaction tax," the statement, the proposed levy on the spot foreign exchange transactions globally harmonized tax. Last summer, the European sovereign debt crisis intensified, financial market upheaval. To this end, France and Germany once again proposed to levy financial transaction tax, to limit large-scale speculative capital flows, prevent financial risks.

September 28, the European Commission to the European SONY VGP-BPS8 battery Parliament formally impose financial transaction tax proposal, the proposed EU from 2014 onwards all domestic financial institutions involved in financial transactions tax, stocks and bonds trading rate of 0.1%, financial derivatives of the rate of 0.01%. According to relevant laws, the proposal must be agreed by the European Council, and listen to the views of the European Parliament to pass through. After implementation of the program is expected to bring at least a year to 55 billion euros (about $ 70 billion) tax revenues.

Late last year, the French Economy, Finance and Industry Minister Francois said Pakistan Ruan, France and Germany will be made ??on January 23 this year, a common implementation of views, for introduction in 2013, financial transactions tax. But the new year, a number of ministers and the French Prime Minister Francois Fillon in turn advance the implementation schedule to the end of 2012. President Sarkozy New Year congratulatory speech in 2012, more emphasis on "the financial industry must repair the damage it caused," and as quickly as possible through the collection of financial transactions tax proposal.

French President Special Adviser Hengligainuo 6 In an HP PAVILION DV4 battery interview with the French media that France is ready to play an exemplary role, and may even be the end of January this year on the financial transactions tax levy to make a decision.
Italian Prime Minister Monty 6 in Paris after meeting with French Prime Minister Francois Fillon said the Italian government tax on financial transactions charge open-minded, but I hope to take unified action at the EU level, some countries do not want to take unilateral action.

Germany and Italy the same attitude. German government spokesman said that the German government’s position has not changed, that should be for the entire tax financial transactions in the EU. The European Commission wants EU member states to "coherent", for the first half of 2012 tax on financial transactions made significant progress.

Financial transaction tax levy has long been a focus of SONY VGP-BPS9 battery debate parties. Whether it is within the framework of the Group of Twenty, or the European Union within the opposition were very strong. Imposed within the EU for financial transactions tax, Germany, Belgium and Finland expressed support, while the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and the European Central Bank and other opposition. The opposition believes that the financial transaction tax should be implemented on a global scale, or more taxing international capital flows to countries and regions do not, increase market distortions, help to stabilize the global financial markets.

On the G20, from Toronto, Canada, the summit began, to the summit in Cannes, France, the European Union and France and Germany continue to make recommendations on the financial transaction tax, but the Group of Twenty leaders failed to reach agreement. In 2009, the Group of Twenty has commissioned the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to study how the financial tax levy, the organization released the following year the related report that the financial transaction tax levied against it, because in practice difficult to enforce.

Parties to a mixed reaction

French public opinion generally believes that Sarkozy on behalf of the liberal conservative, he was so eager to promote the implementation of the financial transactions tax, for re-election may be more out of political considerations. French "Liberation" said Sarkozy may be the general election in April this year before the first round SONY VGP-BPS13 battery of voting, by trying to impose financial transactions tax bill, which create a "to reform in the end," the presidential image.

France’s main opposition Socialist Party presidential candidate Francois Waao Landes believes that Sarkozy wants to end presidential term in a series of measures, including raising the value-added tax, financial transactions tax levy, to show that he "returns voters", "Start monitoring the market, limit speculation," but the implementation of this tax are not ripe.

French industry and academia in general that France will impose financial transaction taxes have a negative impact on the financial industry. Paris, France, chairman of special emphasis on banking, financial transaction tax levied only unified global scale makes sense, only one State in France, will lead to capital outflows, the French financial industry less competitive. Professor of economics at the University of Paris Chris Diang Saint – Etienne said, the collection of financial transactions tax losses may exceed the actual tax revenue, thus outweigh the benefits.

Some civil society groups and organizations in France Sarkozy welcomed the statement, but that his position there are still many questions, worried that he published only campaign slogan, in fact, difficult to enforce.

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Britain’s chess in the European Union under difficult

January 6th, 2012

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Fires raging in London riots, massive rally against pension reform, together with Germany Acer Aspire 5610 battery and France rejected a joint initiative to strengthen the financial changes to the "Lisbon Treaty" caused by the left alone, the British in 2011 had some taste of home and less abroad

Over the past 2011, Europe sovereign debt crisis raging across the sea of ​​the British Isles also irritated: ablaze London riots, massive rally against pension reform, together with Germany and France to strengthen the financial veto a joint initiative to modify the "Lisbon Treaty" caused by the left alone, has quite the taste of home and less abroad.

August 2011, the "Arab Spring" seems to spread to the London Tottenham, London riots ignited the flames, and spread rapidly. People are stunned endless: the riots in the crowd and even vandalism flashed ambassador for the 2012 London Olympics so that the children of middle-class figure. How the issue of the British people can not help but question.

Study the underlying reasons, first, the recession, high unemployment, HP pavilion dv9000 Battery debt shot up, forced to implement severe austerity policies. After the financial crisis, though not the euro area member states, but the dominance of the British financial industry, the economy suffered a severe crisis of poison, weak growth, less than 1% is expected this year; unemployment up to 8.3%, the highest since 1994; public debt continued to climb, the government was forced to tighten again, including the reduction of 500,000 public jobs and so on. Second, prominent cultural and educational issues, a new generation of identity and cultural traditions of the mainstream emergence of displacement and deviation, rebellious and anti-traditional atmosphere on the rise. Third, the cultural diversity and immigrant integration failed to achieve the objectives of social, ethnic minorities and children of immigrants there is a gap between the mainstream of public opinion, they are gradually being marginalized and ignored.

In December, the British government to reduce the fiscal deficit to deal with aging and the financial crisis, was forced to cut welfare and social security system, pension reform plan put forward: the public sector staff to extend the retirement age from 60 to 66 years of age; the amount of old-age pensions and retirement pay from the past and linked to career average earnings-related, significantly reduced the level of pensions; increase in personal pension deposit ratio. This was, including the majority of civil servants and other employees, including strong opposition from more than 200 million people flock to the streets, strikes, protests, creating a record of past centuries, known as the "Century strike."

Clearly, the welfare system’s rigidity makes easily from simple to extravagant, from luxury to simple hard. Britain has a tradition of high welfare, in 1601 the British introduced the world’s first "Poor Law", SONY VGP-BPS9 battery July 1948, according to "Beveridge Plan," the British announced the completion of the world’s first welfare state, committed to provide "cradle-to- grave "social security system around the clock service. But with the economic downturn, especially the growing aging, the elderly population over 65 years the UK has reached 16%, the UK pension severe deficits, the current pension deficit has reached 26% of GDP, reasonable reform, but it is undoubtedly touch the citizens, especially the civil service pension costs of cheese, was also reasonable to strong resistance.

End of the year, for the sovereign debt crisis for the final solution, known as the last hope of resolving the crisis through the EU summit in more than 10 hours after bargaining, including non-euro area and EU member countries and other EU countries finally agreed to a total of 26 strengthen fiscal discipline and the conclusion of the New Testament, only the British stay out, so that Defa Xi Wang unanimously to modify the "Lisbon Treaty" initiative abortion, the British became the integration of the "separatists", the European Union’s isolated. Cameron as Conservative prime minister declared: This is to protect the interests of the UK financial sector and fiscal sovereignty against alienation, and get 62% of British people support. But the Deputy Prime Minister, but from the Liberal Democratic Party’s Craig expressed extreme disappointment: "Britain will be isolated, which would be detrimental to employment, economic growth and the livelihoods of tens of millions of people." Opposition Labor Party said it would weaken the Britain in the European Union’s right to speak.

Undoubtedly, this reflects the British tangle: on the one hand, has always been satisfied with the position of weakness and with the United States belong to the Anglo-Saxon model of the UK has been a tradition in Europe to send the suspect, believed in the "glorious independence", not only half-hearted before the accession, and the firm does not enter the euro zone. Coupled with its financial sector accounted for the overall economy more than one percent, Germany and France to promote the strengthening of financial supervision and financial transactions tax increase touched its core interests, is unacceptable, LG R1 Pro Express Dual battery hope to sign in exchange for financial privileges sensible. But the veto, but also its become common knowledge, and breaking down into the EU were heterogeneous, with Germany and France forged a certain distance. On the other hand, half of their trade in Europe, economic and other benefits is difficult to let go, can not be independent, of course, the EU is also inseparable from the United Kingdom. This game of chess is difficult under.

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EU Airlines’ limit carbon "cost-effective or miscalculation

January 6th, 2012

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After five years of preparation, the EU finally scheduled to hit the Toshiba PA3465U-1BAS battery aviation industry worldwide emissions "stick", from January 1, 2012 from more than 4,000 global airlines into the EU emissions trading system. EU to receive "green money from" Forget what political accounts and economic accounts? "Carbon-limited storm" the shadow of the "Aviation 2012" on?

Economic accounts: fear runs the risk of

Although this policy is for the EU to address climate change considerations, but also difficult to hide their by political and economic interests-driven reality. Shanghai Environment Energy Exchange research director Dr. Li Jin pointed out that, politically speaking, with the international aviation industry, the EU regional carbon trading system to be extended to a global scale, it can be further enhanced to address climate change issues in leadership and voice. From an economic point of view, one is suffering from debt-crisis economy provides a "subsidy"; the second is to seize the global carbon finance, carbon trading, carbon monitoring, carbon reporting, carbon market opportunities in the field of certification; third is to pull the aircraft manufacturing exports of green technology services; four for possible future introduction of iron and steel, electricity, shipping and other global industry solution "test the water."

However, the European Union on the "wishful thinking" while playing Compaq Presario cq40 battery sound, but not "pains." First of all, this is essentially due to the EU in the global circulation is set up green barriers, logistics cost increases along the chain transfer to the field of trade in goods, trade profits narrowing, entry prices rise, in the end may become victims of is precisely the EU itself. Second, the United States, Russia and other countries clearly anti-system, Europe will also benefit greatly reduced. Finally, tourists and business people travel costs rise, may be suppressed to some extent, the world of international tourism consumption and business activities of activity. According to the analysis estimates, assuming that the European emission quota transaction costs and opportunity costs fully passed on, taking into account the latest fuel prices, carbon dioxide quotas when the price is 10 euros per tonne, air ticket price increase of 1.3%, 0.5% lower demand for tickets; When the quota price of € 30 per ton, raise fares 4.0%, 2.4% lower demand. International Air Transport Association survey showed that more expensive fare may give up 10 million U.S. travelers to Europe to travel. From this, the EU is not only difficult to achieve fame and fortune, but there runs the risk of the horse.

Environmental accounts: Non-direct emission

Considered complete economic accounts, and then count environmental accounts. The EU’s "carbon limit" made in reducing emissions but also on how effective?

Beijing University of Aeronautics Aviation Research Center Associate Professor Yang Caixia that emissions from the industry perspective, the aviation industry’s global carbon dioxide emissions account for only 3% of total emissions, metallurgy, electric power, manufacturing and other industries emissions far more than the former. However, after 2003 the implementation of the EU carbon emissions trading system, metallurgy, electric power and other industries, the relevant instructions are given to the free quota excess, the actual emission reduction effect is very limited. The aviation industry into carbon emissions trading HP Pavilion dv7 battery system, how effective has yet to be seen. Because of its historical emissions as the basis to calculate the quota, so for most major airlines, the EU’s emission reduction pressure is not great, the natural effect of emission reduction will not be very obvious. In addition to advocating environmental effects outside the EU, and so far did not give data to prove the effectiveness of emission reduction policies. As for the aviation industry are on the rise in developing countries, emission reduction and cost pressures would be very great.

Emissions from the transportation point of view, the most effective way to optimize the transportation system layout. But the EU’s road transport greenhouse gas emissions in the transportation accounted for 71%, there are still many Europeans enjoy the convenience of private cars and all kinds of reasons to oppose nuclear power and other clean energy. China Air Transport Association, said Deputy Secretary-General Chai Haibo, the EU approach is a non-direct emission reduction measures, did not have a direct and practical energy saving effect, but the unilateral establishment of a detour to energy saving in the name of it implementation of the system design of a financial nature, will prevent, inhibit the development of air transport industry of developing countries. Moreover, the EU’s "emission limitation that" the implementation of object forest for the trees, not the first SONY VGP-BPS9 battery for the aircraft and engine manufacturers, emission reduction is not from the source.

In addition, for the EU "policies", some airlines may be "under the measures", the design of the next route to Europe through the Middle East and other third country transit, etc., to reduce direct carbon emissions accounting, and this reduction intentions.

Industry accounts: quota imbalance

The EU policy in the preparation stage, caused the United States, China, Russia and other countries dissatisfied with the aviation industry. For China, the EU would not only violate international law and international practice, it is the "common but differentiated responsibilities" principle ignored. It is estimated that China’s civil aviation industry in 2012 will pay about $ 0.8 billion by 2020 will increase to 3.0 billion, total expenditures for nine years here about 176 million.

Moreover, airlines in developed and developing countries to buy carbon emissions quotas, there are also uneven. China, a major European airline to fly 36% of the 2012 quota will need to purchase, Sony VGP-BPS5 battery the transaction costs 210 million yuan; to 2015, these two figures were 48% and 3.8 billion; in 2020 and further rose to 67% 730 million yuan. The Lufthansa 2012 only 8% of the quotas need to purchase, and the ratio does not significantly increase. This is business booming Chinese aviation enterprises is undoubtedly a long-term burden, but also by increasing the European advantage.

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Soros: the disintegration of the catastrophic consequences of EU

January 6th, 2012

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Investment tycoon George Soros said the euro is the European Union pose a Dell Inspiron 6000 Battery potential threat to political unity, the euro collapse, the disintegration of the European Union will have catastrophic consequences for the global debt crisis in Europe over the 2008 financial crisis is more serious.

Soros in the southern Indian city of Hyderabad, said, "Today, the euro is a potential threat to the European Union’s political unity."

The financial predators, said, "If the common currency’s collapse, which would lead to the collapse of the EU itself, and, not only will hit Europe, and even the global financial system will have catastrophic consequences."

Soros said the euro zone crisis "than the 2008 financial crisis more serious, more dangerous."

He said that given the "creditor and debtor countries," the HP Pavilion DV2000 Battery imbalance between the short term, some euro area countries will likely have to take more tightening measures.

Soros said, "Unfortunately, they have not resolved this serious financial crisis, which led to deterioration of the situation is completely unclear whether the European solution."

Debt market concerns about the EU has reduced the market risk aversion also continues to heat up, leading to the euro continued to weaken. Some experts even point out that EU leaders seem to have their rope, the European debt problem is a deadlock, only to make the European Union and the disintegration of the euro area can be resolved.

Media reports have said the European part of the central bank is said to have begun to consider contingency plans for the member states out of the euro, and even complete disintegration of the euro IBM ThinkPad X40 Battery area in preparation, including the consideration of re-opening in January 2002 the euro into circulation since the national currency will no longer be printed .

The threat of the debt crisis in Europe is no longer just exist in the financial sector, many companies now have to be physical disintegration of the euro area to develop this possibility into areas of future development strategy.

Soros and other financial giants are currently adverse economic bargain-hunting euro assets.

Soros had been ahead of the layout in 2011 in the European bond market and stock market. First, in Man’s world at the end of October last year after the collapse of Soros Fund through the family bought its holdings of about $ 2 billion in European sovereign bonds.

It is reported that George Soros and a few hedge funds, the discount is 89 cents, from the hands of Man’s global access to one of a group of Italian government bonds, but bond market price was 94 cents. In other words, Soros bet that Italian bonds will not default.

It is understood that, as of mid-December last year, this Toshiba PA3465U-1BAS battery group of Italian Treasury has about $130 million Soros to create profit.

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The EU intends to seek deal with the Iranian oil embargo program

January 5th, 2012

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EU and U.S. sanctions against Iran to further tighten the noose: Brussels local time on Acer Aspire 5520 battery the 4th of foreign diplomats, said the oil embargo against Iran has been initially agreed.

In the oil embargo against Iran had been doubts about the Greek "let go", the EU foreign ministers prepared to the meeting on January 30 announced the implementation of Iran’s energy and banking more stringent sanctions. "We want to strengthen sanctions against Iran – have been mentioned sanctions include oil and financial sectors." EU spokesman Michael Mann said that in Brussels 5.

Although Iran says to respond quickly, will find alternative customers, but most analysts believe that the potential impact of the embargo on the market is huge. "Strengthen sanctions against Iran will only create tension and increase Iran’s Strait of Hormuz off the possibility." French Paribas Commodity Futures director Tom Bentz believes that "If the Europeans stop buying oil from Iran, they will have to purchase from elsewhere, will inevitably result in oil supply. "

Still need to finalize the details of sanctions

French Foreign Minister Alain Juppe here in Lisbon, said he hoped the Dell Inspiron 6400 Battery 30-day meeting of EU foreign ministers to sanctions on Iran’s decision to embargo oil exports to reach agreement.

Joint promotion by the British and French oil embargo in the last month was the Greek opposition. According to data released by the United States, Greece, during the first half of 2011, 14% of oil imports come from Iran. But on the 4th one from the Greek government environment, energy and climate Ministry officials said, Greece has decided to comply with any of the EU embargo.

"In principle, to move forward (on the Iranian oil embargo) has reached an agreement." Brussels, a diplomat added, "but (of sanctions) time to reach an agreement on the point, 30-day meeting is still much work to do. "

Juppe said some EU countries to buy large quantities of oil from Iran, mainly Spain, Greece and Italy, these countries need to "alternatives." "These alternatives exist, I think the end of January we were able to achieve their goals." He said. Italian Prime Minister had said Monty, Italy the proportion of oil imports from Iran about the country’s oil demand of 13%.

The United States welcomed the European Union to promote the embargo. "It’s the economy with tightening the noose on Iran’s acting." Efforts Rand U.S. State Department spokesman in Washington said Victoria, "to get attention is the oil of Iran." Nu Lande Iran will blockade Hall on wood Zihai Gap’s position, known as "bluster." "This ‘bluster’ that Iran HP Pavilion dv4 battery feel the pressure." She said, in order to ensure that such as the Strait of Hormuz waterway of international free flow of public waters, the United States will "continue to play a global role."

Strait of Hormuz is located between the southern Arabian Peninsula and Iran, the Persian Gulf to the Indian Ocean is the only export, but also important international oil transport routes from the Persian Gulf oil exports go through the Strait account for the total global crude oil supply one-fifth of traffic.

Iran to seek "alternatives"

In the European Union that are stepping up to the Iranian oil and banking sanctions, the international crude oil prices in 11 days 9 times higher, floating to the nearly 8-month high. According to Bloomberg data, in December last year, Iran’s crude oil output to reach 358 million barrels per day, second only to Saudi Arabia is OPEC country’s second largest oil producer. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration data, 2010 Iran’s oil exports to 220 million barrels, of which 60 million barrels sold in the EU. The EU is Iran’s second largest crude oil export target.

Analysis, once the ban is really implemented, Saudi Arabia will be asked to provide an extra 60 million barrels of oil a day, run out of Saudi Arabia’s margin.

At present, Iran has been trying to find a way to deal with the Western economic sanctions, Iran’s oil revenues to know its foreign exchange earnings account for 80% of the total. An Iranian oil ministry official said Iran had to find alternative, prepared to continue to maintain this year 2.3 million barrels per day of crude oil exports.

The Iranian Parliament Energy Committee members Said Hosseini LG R405 battery had also said that oil exports to the EU only Iran’s oil exports accounting for 18%. He believes that EU countries do not buy Iranian oil, will not cause too much impact on the Iranian economy.

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EU reached an agreement to block Iran’s eight-month oil prices touch new high

January 5th, 2012

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January 4, EU diplomats said the EU has banned Iranian oil into the EU reached a preliminary agreement, as the ban will be implemented is not yet decided. According to the December meeting of EU foreign ministers, the EU SONY VGP-BPS9 battery will be held January 30 summit, it is quite likely the introduction of formal oil embargo against Iraq.

After the news of the EU sanctions, the international oil prices soared. As of yesterday, 20:30, U.S. crude oil futures contract reported 3 103.18 a barrel, down 0.32%. But still after hitting $ 103.86 for the 8-month high. It is worth mentioning that Iran has a strong counterattack that once the oil export ban hit, oil prices will soon rose to $ 250. The future of all foreign warships through the Strait of Hormuz would like, are required to obtain approval of the Iranian Navy.

It is said that EU foreign officials generally believe that sanctions would be phased, and will not immediately break the existing oil purchase contract. Future negotiations will focus on what the contract should be within the scope of exemptions to the embargo, there are many long hours of their exemption. Said a senior French diplomat on, for example, Italy has paid large advance payment to Iran, if the immediate cessation of imports, it will cause huge economic losses.

CRE Securities analyst Chai Xiaohu that if the formation of future conflict in the Strait of Hormuz, will lead to short-term market panic, so that short-term spikes in international oil prices over the previous $ HP pavilion dv9000 Battery 150 high probability of great. The soaring price of crude oil will be the already fragile global economy the formation of new shocks.

Thus, the focus of global concern is not round in the European Union ban on imports of Iraqi oil itself, but rather concentrated in the Middle East oil-exporting hub on the Strait of Hormuz. Information, the channel share of global oil transport approximately 20% of total daily across the globe through the region up to 1600 barrels of crude oil.

2012 prices may be higher than $ 100

So, Iran’s oil If that is blocked, how much oil will be up? "Daily Economic News" reporter found that, because Europe is a large oil imports, about 50 million barrels of crude oil a day to buy. Even Asian countries such as China, Japan, India purchase of Iranian oil, I am afraid it is difficult to fill Iran’s oil exports to Europe the gap.

More importantly, after the 2001 oil embargo of Iraq, from July 2001 to mid-September, the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) oil production starts to completely bridge the gap during a very short time, short-term supply and demand due to changes in crude oil , prices have skyrocketed by 20%. Saudi Arabia currently no plans to increase production and replace it with the 12 million barrels per day production target, stop the $ 100 billion expansion plan. In addition, Citigroup IBM ThinkPad X40 Battery believes that Libya’s oil production to be restored to the pre-war level of full load to wait until the end of 2012. This indicates that, even without considering oil demand growth in emerging countries the negative impact of the embargo shortly after one or two months, oil prices will sharply rise.

Research providers in New Jersey Economic Outlook Group, said chief global economist BernardBaumohl, 2012 Iran’s oil supply could be disrupted revenge. Will continue in the oil premium $ 10 per barrel to 20 dollars. The danger is that oil prices will shot up to $ 130 or more, depending on whether the conflict escalation. If so, we need to consider the economic recession in Europe and the global economy as a whole faced declining prospects.

Appropriate sanctions "time"

An EU diplomat said that all parties to promote the embargo on Iranian oil to Europe to reach a consensus in principle, but "there is still much work to do" to determine when sanctions implemented. Another diplomat stressed that the current discussion focused on the implementation of sanctions "time."

Ally, the United States and cheered sanctions

U.S. State Department spokesman Newland said: "This is good news, but also the United States and European Union countries the results of negotiations that the United States not only want to see European allies decided that sanctions against Iran, but also like to see other countries do," "because we believe that this will tighten the shackles of Iran’s economy, we believe, allow Iran has touched the area is oil.

Iran will never give up uranium enrichment

"Our country will never give up uranium enrichment activities … Iran’s nuclear program is entirely for peaceful purposes, this is one of our basic rights Iran ready to restart nuclear talks with Iran, but the relevant parties should sit down and determine the three, negotiation time, place and contents of the negotiation talks. "Iranian Foreign IBM ThinkPad R50 Battery Ministry spokesman Manchester

United States to ensure freedom of navigation in the Straits sensitive

"Strait of Hormuz is international waters, Iran Iran on the need to allow foreign warships through the Strait can only request a" paper tiger threat. "This shows that the sanctions and other measures to make Iran feel the pressure to have the United States will continue to play a role in to ensure and promote the freedom of navigation in international waters. "

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Hungarian currency crisis or imminent breach of the first of its kind the EU

January 5th, 2012

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What is the currency crisis? For example, the early 1990s, still stands on the streets of Bangkok, Thailand, with various skyscrapers, economic prosperity and orderly look. But Soros and other crazy short baht in 1997, these skyscraper quickly deserted, people unemployed of no fixed abode. Today, Hungary has been put on the "guillotine." With the speed of Apple A1185 Battery depreciation of the currency, Hungary is likely to be the first breach of EU governments.

Fuse: confrontation with the European Union

Wednesday morning, the foreign exchange market appeared an unusual transaction. Hungarian forint drop down to a sudden acceleration, the euro forint disk reported 319.4, approaching a record high. 36 hours after the forint are still experiencing a strong sell. As of 6 pm last night, the euro against the forint continued to move, to 324.16 intraday Mogao, refresh the record.

In the end is what causes investors suddenly sale forint it? You know, even the euro, also hit from yesterday, its lowest level since September 2010.

It is reported that the Hungarian parliament last week passed new restrictions on central bank independence of the central bank law, and canceled a planned bond exchange auction. However, the move angered the European Union and International Monetary Fund (IMF), as in Hungary in November last year decided to seek financial support for the EU and the IMF, the market is worried that the country is therefore less likely to obtain 15 billion to 200 billion euros of emergency line of credit. Began to go crazy to sell forint.

This also throws up a series of derivative problems, the first is the HP pavilion dv6000 Battery bond market. Less attractive when the forint, the Hungarian market is not willing to hold more government bonds. As of yesterday, Hungary 10-year Treasury yields surged to 10.92%. In addition, the 5-year credit default swaps (CDS) spreads widened to 745 points, a record high. Reflect the high risk of debt default.

But the Hungarian government does not think so. According to the official statement, the government has a lot of money on hand to pay that sum in 2008 rescue loan. In addition, there is surplus government and its deficit-GDP ratio has not touched the EU under the cordon.

"Daily Economic News" reporter found that the Hungarian budget deficit target for 2012, 2.5% of GDP, public debt in 2011 accounted for 82% of GDP in the EU is not high. But alarmingly, the Hungarian government representatives will meet January 11, IMF Managing Director Lagarde, there may be a critical time window. In this regard, the French Paribas believes that if the meeting does not have any results, it may trigger a new round of selling. The euro against the forint will be ascribed to the 340. Even more dangerous is when the Hungarian bond yields continued to rise, the pressure will increase in government debt. Yesterday, the issue of 350 billion forint of Hungary’s 12-month bonds, HUF 45 billion less than planned. Furthermore, the average yield from the previous month jumped by nearly 200 basis points to 9.96%.

Hungary caught three critical

According to the "Daily Economic News" reporter, Hungary is currently caught in foreign debt, currency and economic crisis of the three. In addition to IMF, the EU reached a compromise, the fear had no choice.

First, the external debt crisis of the most intuitive. Although Hungary in 2008 after the subprime crisis better recovery, the debt-GDP ratio of only 82% (third quarter), with Greece, Italy, Spain and other countries compared to the count is not high. Hungarian debt due this year, but the relative concentration, the risk of a huge money-strand breaks. Statistics show that in Hungary this year, a total of 98 billion euros of debt maturity, which accounted for 43.9% of external debt, domestic debt accounted for 56.1%. However, only the Hungarian central bank calls for 2.5 billion euros in cash, less than one-third of the SONY VGP-BPS8 battery total debt due. If Hungary does not use financial instruments, is likely to be the first breach of the EU government.

Second, the common gate money market financing has been closed for Hungary. Last month, Yin Fulin in one day fell 1.33%, to outside investors a very bad influence. At present, Hungary’s five-year credit default swaps (CDS) is close to 686 basis points higher than the two major issues of national Italy and Spain, which made the market worried about the prospects of Hungary.

The current three-month Treasury bills Hungarian average yield of 7.32%, last year in the first half of the term bond yields only 5.75%. In addition, Hungary 10-year bond yields rose on Wednesday to a high of 10.8% over the most recent Treasury auction canceled, also showed the plight of the Hungarian finance tip of the iceberg.

Again, in order to prevent foreign investment accelerated to escape, the Hungarian central bank can raise interest rates. But the problem is very difficult to tolerate the Hungarian government’s fragile economy continues to tighten. According to the International Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Report, 2012, the Hungarian economy into a recession, the range of 0.6%. Hungary may become the European Union, Eastern European countries in 2012, the slowest economic growth in the country. It is worth mentioning is that the current benchmark interest rate up to 6.5% in Hungary.

For the Hungarian crisis, Changjiang Securities, the macro group told the "Daily Economic News" reporter, Hungary is relatively small, the euro area banking system in Hungary’s exposure is limited. The spread of the crisis is confined to Eastern Europe for more range.

"Hungary is not a debt crisis," Pei Ho CRE futures analyst, said, "but the market risk sentiment caused the liquidity crisis. IMF hopes to attach conditions to aid, regulate the Hungarian government’s fiscal behavior. January 11 of negotiations there is a breakthrough opportunity. "

Hungarian Development Minister and chief negotiator TamasFellegi Thursday news conference in the Government suggests, Hungary hopes to aid in the next week regarding the IMF reach agreement with all parties, the HP pavilion DV6 battery Hungarian government for the new central bank law is open to negotiations.

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Disintegration of the euro area in the upcoming

January 4th, 2012

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British think-tank Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) predicted that the disintegration of the euro area is likely to begin this year, at least one member will be out. Out of deep debt crisis, the possibility of HP HSTNN-IB17 battery the highest in Greece, and then is likely to be Italy.

2012 has been called "the disintegration of the euro area was"

Headquartered in London, Economics and Business Research Centre said in a statement: "It looks like 2012 will be the year of the euro began to disintegrate." The statement said: "This situation is not yet a conclusion, we only predict the likelihood of 60% However, we estimate that at least the end of this year, one country (or more) will be out of the euro. "

The center also pointed out that the next decade, the possibility of the disintegration of the euro area up to 99%. Disintegration may not be such a high talk. Prior to a quarterly survey released by Deloitte also has a digital display, the British company’s CFO generally agreed that the disintegration of the euro area is the biggest threat to the business IBM ThinkPad T60 battery in 2012, 37% or more of the CFO that a euro zone member states will end this year Prior to exit the euro area, and the instability in Europe last year to increase the probability of recession in the United Kingdom to 54%.

Greece said it had close to edge out

EU leaders this week to try to gain time, Spain and Italy to speed up the rate of the debt problem, the tenth anniversary of the euro, Europe’s single currency to save from collapse. Economics and Business Research Center also pointed out that the debt crisis may force "Most banks in France and Germany," to seek assistance to offset the debt they hold by impairment losses. "They may even be nationalized, other European banks will once again into crisis."

While walking in the Dell Latitude D610 battery forefront of the wind out of the euro area economy is still terrible Greek. Yesterday, the Greek government spokesman has made clear that, if not received the International Monetary Fund, the European Union and private banks to provide 130 billion euros in the second tranche of financial stabilization fund, or had to withdraw from the euro area of ​​Greece.

EU leaders last October, in principle, to finalize a new round of European Financial Stability Fund, but the new plan to implement the conditions in Greece itself further deficit reduction and re-transformation of the economy. It is reported that the European Union, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank of Greece, the situation of the inspector will arrive in Athens, agreed the final details of the rescue.

European Central Bank or the attempt to save the city

Although a variety of organizations and the various parties have indicated the SONY VGP-BPS9 battery disintegration of the euro area could face a huge, but still believe that the European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, "speculation about the disintegration of the euro area, but is ill imagined." This is a warning of market speculators, but also the collapse of the euro on the anxious political forces fight back. In fact, the ECB does have the means to overcome the debt crisis and deal with depression, such as guidance to further reduce interest rates again if necessary liquidity or large-scale release of tight state finances continue to buy government bonds. Germany is the largest contributor to the EU, but also the biggest beneficiary of the demise of the euro will not be watched.

Despite the introduction of a EU summit after another variety of the euro or the European debt crisis rescue program, but their core, there are two weaknesses: First, only emphasized the throttle, there is no economic recovery plan. For Greece, such as the highly indebted countries, there is no economic revitalization, budget cuts can only lead to blindly worsen the economy. Second, the wealthy EU member states does not want to tighten their belts to aid their brothers and sisters, but always want to pay outsiders or financial markets, they only out of a "guarantee fee." This allows the financial markets or countries outside the European Union doubts.

Whether it is from the perspective of economic development, or to overcome the debt crisis from the perspective of the EU and the euro area in 2012 is a critical year for both. How the situation evolved, the existing HP Pavilion dv7 battery response plans can implement, to be seen.

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